Expert Analysis: Arnaldi vs Cerundolo
The upcoming match between Matteo Arnaldi and Francisco Cerundolo on August 26, 2025, is poised to be an exciting encounter. Both players bring distinct styles to the court, with Arnaldi known for his baseline consistency and Cerundolo for his aggressive play. The betting odds suggest a closely contested first set, with the over 1st Set Games at 77.20 and under at 72.00, indicating expectations of a high-scoring opening. The likelihood of a tiebreak in the first set stands at 80.10, suggesting both players are evenly matched in this aspect. However, the probability of avoiding a tiebreak in the match is higher at 63.40.
Arnaldi, Matteo
Cerundolo, Francisco
(FT)
Predictions:
| Market | Prediction | Odd | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1st Set Games | 75.60% | (2-3) 6-3 1st Set 1.29 | |
| Under 1st Set Games | 71.50% | (2-3) 6-3 1st Set 1.30 | |
| Tie Break in 1st Set (No) | 82.20% | (2-3) | |
| Tie Break in Match (No) | 66.10% | (2-3) | |
| Under 3.5 Sets | 64.60% | (2-3) | |
| Under 2.5 Sets | 57.00% | (2-3) | |
| Total Games 2-Way (Over 22.5) | 57.10% | (2-3) |
When considering the total sets, the under 3.5 sets option is priced at 67.50, while under 2.5 sets is slightly lower at 61.10, hinting at a potential quick finish if one player can establish dominance early on. The total games market predicts an over of 22.5 games with odds of 58.00, indicating an expectation of extended rallies and a potentially high number of games played.
Betting Predictions
- Over 1st Set Games: Odds at 77.20 suggest anticipation of a high-scoring first set.
- Under 1st Set Games: Odds at 72.00 reflect a possibility of a shorter first set.
- Tie Break in 1st Set (No): With odds of 80.10, avoiding a tiebreak in the first set seems likely.
- Tie Break in Match (No): Odds at 63.40 favor no tiebreaks throughout the match.
- Under 3.5 Sets: At 67.50, this suggests a prediction of a match concluding in three or fewer sets.
- Under 2.5 Sets: Odds at 61.10 indicate a potential for an even quicker resolution.
- Total Games Over/Under: The over of 22.5 games at odds of 58.00 suggests an expectation of lengthy rallies and numerous games.
Additional Predictions
Given Arnaldi’s recent form and consistency from the baseline, he might have an edge in controlling the rallies and extending games, contributing to the over games market prediction. On the other hand, Cerundolo’s aggressive style could lead to quick points and potentially shorter sets if he manages to break Arnaldi’s rhythm early on. Observers should watch for how each player adapts to their opponent’s strategies throughout the match.